Baseball statistics for moronic idiots aspiring to merely be dummies: An annotated approach

April 14, 2011

So I was tooling around seeing what’s going on around the diamond today and came across an ESPN list of how this year’s rookies are doing.

Just looking at the batters, there are three ways of judging their accomplishments: regular statistics, pretty much the kind of info you used to be able to find on baseball cards; expanded stats, pretty much the kind of info you could find in a high-quality baseball reference book; and sabermetric stats, the kind of info you could find on Pluto (if Pluto was still a planet).

Funny, but when Murray Chass used to complain about VORP, WAR, et al, the sabermetric blogosphere was all over him, calling him a dinosaur. And then they got nasty. But when John Thorn complained the stats had taken over from the narrative of the game, they were all like, “hmm, maybe he has a point.”

Anyway, following the jump and for what it’s worth, here’s my annotated list of some of the newfangled statistics, as listed in a glossary on ESPN.com. I’ve eliminated a few of the really the basic ones like doubles, plate appearances, etc., unless they set up further discussion.

For some really good books on the subject, I recommend Beyond Batting Average, by Lee Panas, and Eric Blabac’s Encyclopedia of Baseball Statistics: From A to ZR.

BATTING STATISTICS
#P/PA Pitches seen per plate appearance
No problem. It’s interesting to see who’s patient and who’s not. In my softball league, I’m a notorious first-pitch swinger kind of guy, unless the situation absolutely demands otherwise, like when the pitcher has walked three straight in front of me. Some don’t like hitting behind in the count, but that’s not my situation. I’m just impatient.
BB/K Walks Per Strikeout
What’s the point (WTP)? I guess this is an indication of strike zone judgment, but what does this say about a batter other than he sees a lot of pitches? Maybe he’s just not aggressive.
BB/PA Walks Per Plate AppearanceSee above.
CS Caught stealing
I think this is only germane for a bad base stealer who takes his team out of innings.
FB Fly balls hit, excluding home runs
WTP? Are these balls hits? Outs? A combination? How high does it have to be to be deemed a fly ball? Is that a separate category from line drives or is it anything that is specifically not a ground ball? When I worked for STATS we had to keep track of such things.
G/F Ground ball/fly ball ratio (GB divided by FB)
Without context, WTP? Let’s say a batter actually needs to hit a ground ball…
GIDP Grounded into double play
Should be listed as an average, as in how many times a batter GIDP per opportunities.
IBB Intentional bases on balls
Perhaps with the batter’s spot in the lineup. Is it a No. 8 hitter in front of the pitcher? Is it an incident of avoiding a power hitter?
IsoP Isolated Power ((Slugging Percentage – Batting Average)
What does this really tell us (WDTRTU)? Wouldn’t a power hitter without a good BA have a higher IP and wouldn’t that then be a bad thing? Tris Speaker, lifetime IP .155 (.500 SA – .345BA), Ryan Klesko, lifetime IP .262 (.500 SA – .279 BA) . So what?
LOB Runners left on base
Again, give me more info. Should this be weighted by the number of outs, a sort of “clutch rating” system?
OBP On-base percentage (H + BB + HBP) divided by (AB + BB + HBP + SF)
You down with OBP (parents, ask your kids)?
OPS On-base percentage plus slugging percentage
I get this one: a balance between power hitting and patience (see Barry Bonds).
OW% Offensive winning percentage. The theoretical winning percentage of a team comprising nine of the same players (e.g. nine Ken Griffey Jrs.). 1) Figure runs created per 27 outs [Note: Total outs = (AB – H + C + GIDP + SH + SF)]. 2) Divide by league average runs per game. 3) Square the result. 4) Divide that figure by 1 + itself
“Theoretical?” “Square the result?” Uh-uh. This isn’t A Beautiful Mind.
RC Runs created
[(H + BB + HBP – CS – GIDP) times (Total bases + .26[BB – IBB + HBP] + .52[SH + SF + SB])] divided by (AB + BB + HBP + SH+ SF)
This was one of the earliest of the sabermetric stats, predating WARP, VORP, WAR, etc.
RC27 Runs created per 27 outs (Estimates how many runs per game a team made up of nine of the same player would score)
“Nine of the same player?” Didn’t I see this in a Bugs Bunny cartoon?
SecA Secondary Average (A way to look at a player’s extra bases gained, independent of Batting Average) (TB – H + BB + SB – CS) / AB
WTP? Can’t you just take the total bases and subtract the singles?
SF Sacrifice flies
SH Sacrifice hits
The difference between the SH and SF is that the batter is actually “giving himself up” on an SH. That is, by taking a bunting stance he theoretically controls how and where the ball should go. You can try to hit a fly ball, but that doesn’t always work as well, and even if you do, there’s no guarantee it will go far enough to score the runner from third.
TPA Total plate appearances AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH + times reached on defensive interference
I don’t get that last one. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a batter reach base that way. Stolen bases, yes, but not hitters.
XBH Extra Base Hits 2B + 3B + HR
Duh.
PITCHING STATISTICS
#P/IP Pitches thrown per inning
Keep the total low.
#P/GS Pitches thrown per start
See above.
#Pit Pitches thrown
What, per game? Per season? WTP?
2B Doubles allowed
3B Triples allowed
With “2B,” WDTRTU? Perhaps the batter is speedy and the fielders slow, Maybe the ground is slick or wet, which impedes the defense. Maybe it’s an “excuse me” swing that lofts just over the third-baseman’s head.
AGS Average Game Score. See Game Score, below
Avg Batting average allowed
Batter X is hitting .444 against Pitcher Y. is that four hits in nine at bats or 44-99? Context, please. A small sample is not really that indicative.
BIPA Balls In Play Average. Batting Average Against, not including home runs or strikeouts
Because neither are in play, I guess, what about a wild pitch/passed ball third strike; rare, i know, but isn’t that in play?.
Bk Balks
Useless in the aggregate. A matter of interpretation by the umpires. How many run s score off balks, I wonder?
BlSv Blown saves.
CG Complete games
What, now?
CS Runners caught stealing
Somehow it seems this should be connected to balks. And where’s the stat for throws over to the bases to keep a runner close? That’s almost like an additional pitch. And while we’re at it, how about keeping track of warm-up tosses in the bullpen. What if a reliever gets up a couple of times before coming in to a game? Or doesn’t get into the game at all?
CW Cheap Wins. Wins in games started that are not Quality Starts.
DIPS ERA A pitcher’s ERA, independent of the defense behind him. This formula, based on essays by Voros McCracken, assumes that all pitchers have consistent BIPA (See Above), and adjusts accordingly. The DIPS ratios on ESPN use the DIPS 2.0 formula, are not park-adjusted, and do not adjust for knuckleball pitchers.
If you’re going to start excluding by pitch, I don’t see the point of this stat.
ERC Component ERA. A pitcher’s ERA based on the hits and walks he allowed, rather than actual runs
If runs aren’t involved, shouldn’t there be another name for it?
ERC% Ratio of Component ERA to actual ERA
Really? TMI.
FB Fly balls hit against
G/F Ground ball/fly ball ratio against GB divided by FB
Interesting when you really need the pitcher to induce a ground ball.
GB Ground balls hit against
GIDP Grounded into double plays againstSee G/F
GF Games finished
Other than closers, WTP? WDTRTU?
GS Games started
Only meaningful as an indication that the pitcher is healthy and a workhorse
GSc Game Score. Start with 50 points. Add 1 point for each out recorded, (3 points per inning). Add 2 points for each inning completed after the 4th. Add 1 point for each strikeout. Subtract 2 points for each hit allowed. Subtract 4 points for each earned run allowed. Subtract 2 points for each unearned run allowed. Subtract 1 point for each walk
Whenever I see long formulas like this I have to ask, why 50? Why not 47 or 63? Why not three points for a strikeout or seven for hits allowed? Where do they come up with these things? I imagine the mathematicians try lots of configurations before determine the “right” one.
H Hits against
Hld Holds. Earned when a relief pitcher enters a game in a save situation (see SvOp, below, for definition), records at least one out, and leaves the game without having given up the lead.
Nice to see the middle innings guys getting some love.
HR Home runs allowed
Conventional wisdom holds that if you give up a lot of homers, you’re a good pitcher, because you’re around the plate and you’re throwing a lot of innings.
IBB Intentional bases on balls
Just an informational stat (but then again, aren’t they all?), since it’s not an indication of a pitcher’s control so much as managerial strategy.
IR Inherited runners. Runners on base when a relief pitcher enters a game
There’s another stat for percentage of IR allowed, but I didn’t see it here. They should go together, no? I would imagine a manager has to have a lot of confidence in a reliever to bring him in with a lot of runners on base.
OBP On-base percentage allowed
Again, not always an indication of a pitcher’s ability as much as defensive ability.
ORuns Opponents’ runs scored (average, per nine innings pitched) while the pitcher of record
Seems like this is a redundant stat. Who else would be scoring runs of a pitcher other than the opponent?
PFR Power/Finesse Ratio Strikeouts Plus Walks Divided By Innings Pitched
WDTRTU? Let’s say you give up 50 walks and fan 50 in 100 innings. So that’s a P/FR of 1.0. But what if you walk only 10 and strike out 90 (or vice versa)? Isn’t that the same 1.0? And where does the power/finesse come in? There’s no differentiation here between 100 MPH fastballs and 60 MPH knucklers.
QS Quality starts
Sorry, I think starters are getting off way to easy. Six innings and three earned runs or less? That’s an ERA of 4.50. Maybe that’s what passes for “quality” nowadays.
RBI Runs batted in allowed
WTP?
Rel Relief decision (Save, blown save, hold)
An indication of how often some relievers are used, I guess. Might not account for the one-out-needed specialist.
RS Run support. Team’s runs scored (average, per 9 innings pitched) while the pitcher of record
Another WDTRTU? That batters try harder for certain pitchers? Perhaps control artists keep the defense awake which has a concomitant effect on offense?
SB Stolen bases allowed
SF Sacrifice flies allowed
Again, WDTRTU? It’s a fly ball out with a runner on third. How can we measure a pitcher’s ability to get a ground ball to the infield in that situation?
SH Sacrifice hits allowed
More on the batter than the pitcher since he knows where he wants the ball to go.
ShO Shutouts
These days it should be paired with complete games since you can’t have a shutout without one. But what about a stat that credits a starter for leaving a game without giving up a run. For example, if he comes out after seven scoreless innings he gets a better score than five scoreless frames.
Slg Slugging percentage allowed. See Slg in Batting Statistics, above, for definition.
So they hit him hard.
TBF Total batters faced
An indication of workload, not necessarily talent.
TL Tough Losses. Losses in games started that are Quality StartsMore of an indictment of the offense than the pitcher. A “tough luck” stat.
WHIP Walks plus hits divided by Innings Pitched
WPct Winning percentage
Wins divided by (Wins + losses)
Like batting average, meaningless as a raw number. A 4-2 record gets you the same .667 as 20-10.
WP Wild pitches
Whoops.
FIELDING STATISTICS
CERA Catcher’s earned-run average. Earned-run average of club’s pitchers with a particular catcher behind the plate
I like this one, but it only works for catcher’s who call their own game. If the pitchers of managers call it, why should the catcher be penalized by a bad CERA?
CS Runners caught stealing
CS% Percentage of runners caught stealing
DP Double plays
Perhaps a percentage of DP per opportunity, as in a middleman who can’t make the relay in time? And perhaps a way to take into consideration if subsequent runs score because the DP wasn’t turned?
FPct Fielding percentage (PO + A) divided by (PO + A + E)
Less useful on its own than it used to be 20 years ago.
GS Games startedShould we now consider “relief fielders”, those late-inning defensive specialists?
PCS Pitchers’ caught stealing. Total runners caught stealing when the player who initiates the fielding play is the pitcher
Pair it with the pick-off
PO Putouts
Doesn’t say that much. Dependent ion the kind of pitcher. I seem to recall a game in which the Mets Syd Fernandez didn’t allow a single ground ball out; everything came on fly balls and Ks
POA Pickoff attempts
RF Range factor (PO + A) divided by 9 innings
How does this really judge range?
SBA Stolen bases allowed
Why is this a defensive problem? Should be some way to “credit” it against the pitcher (for a slow delivery) as well as the catcher.
TC Total chances
ZR Zone rating. The percentage of balls fielded by a player in his typical defensive “zone,” as measured by STATS, Inc.
Then WTP of the Range factor?
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