Attended the Baseball Prospectus roundtable event at the Yogi Berra Museum this afternoon. Five members of that august publication/website were on hand to share their wisdom and insight with a very savvy audience (once you take me out of the equation. There was a kid there, couldn’t have been more than 10, who was asking about the Nationals rotation and whether the panelists thought Madison Bumgarner, a 19-year-old rookie for the Giants, would fare this year. Several others in the audience offered similar queries about players of whom I have never heard. Guess I’m living in the past too much.
One humble statement from Goldman, when answering a question about BP’s projections: “There are not Strat-o-matic cards,” he said. “These are human beings.” Sometimes an anamoly will occur that can’t be accounted for when looking at a player’s career stats. Case in point: Frank Thomas’s messy year-long divorce dropped his stats substantially, but there’s no notation for that on Baseball-Reference.com or any other outlet. Outside events can always drop by without a moment’s notice, and there’s no qay to project for that.
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