So just who do those Brits think they are, printing a piece like “How Baseball Explains the U.S. Elections“?
Somewhere I’m sure there’s an article about World Series winners as a predictor of the Presidential elections. Hmm, let’s see.
Since the first World Series in 1903 (the Fall Classic wasn’t played in 1904), 25 have occurred in a presidential election year. The breakdown looks like this:
Year | WS Winner | Winning presidential party |
1908 | NL – Chicago Cubs | Republican – Taft |
1912 | AL-Boston Red Sox | Democrat – Wilson |
1916 | AL-Boston Red Sox | Democrat – Wilson |
1920 | AL- Cleveland Indians | Republican – Harding |
1924 | AL – Washington Senators | Republican – Coolidge |
1928 | AL – NY Yankees | Republican – McKinley |
1932 | AL – NY Yankees | Democrat – Roosevelt |
1936 | AL – NY Yankees | Democrat – Roosevelt |
1940 | NL – Cinn. Reds | Democrat – Roosevelt |
1944 | NL – St. Louis Cardinals | Democrat – Roosevelt |
1948 | AL – Cleveland Indians | Democrat – Truman |
1952 | AL- NY Yankees | Republican – Eisenhower |
1956 | AL – NY Yankees | Republican – Eisenhower |
1960 | NL – Pitt. Pirates | Democrat – Kennedy |
1964 | NL – St. Louis Cardinals | Democrat – Johnson |
1968 | AL – Detroit Tigers | Republican – Nixon |
1972 | AL – Oakland As | Republican – Nixon |
1976 | NL – Cinn. Reds | Democrat – Carter |
1980 | NL – Philadelphia Phillies | Republican – Reagan |
1984 | AL – Detroit Tigers | Republican – Reagan |
1988 | NL – LA Dodgers | Republican – Bush |
1992 | AL – Toronto Blue Jays | Democrat – Clinton |
1996 | AL – NY Yankees | Democrat – Clinton |
2000 | AL – NY Yankees | Republican – Bush |
2004 | AL – Boston Red Sox | Republican – Bush |
So what are we to glean from this information? It would appear — and this is by no means a scientific survey — that Republicans stand a better chance when the American League team wins (ten times), while Democrats benefit from a National League winner (seven). In the other years, Democrats won five times when the AL produced the World Champion, with the Republicans benefiting only three times via NL winners.
Keep your fingers crossed.
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