* Weathermen and sports prognosticators

September 11, 2009

These are the only professions where you can be wrong a good portion of the time and still keep your job.

Phil Taylor writes about this phenomenon in the Sept. 7 issue of Sports Illustrated. Even though he’s writing about football, it’s still germane. How many baseball genius picked the Mets to at least get to the post-season, let alone win it all?

For want of a nail the shoe was lost.
For want of a shoe the horse was lost.
For want of a horse the rider was lost.
For want of a rider the battle was lost.
For want of a battle the kingdom was lost.
And all for the want of a horseshoe nail.

I wish I could be omnipresent for one baseball season, to be in each market at once to see how the media handles injuries. The Mets were done in by all the hurts, big and small, to key players. I’m sure someone will compile the manhours lost for each team. It would be interesting to see a chart showing the correlation to days on the disabled list to a team’s standings.

A few years ago I kept a simple list of each annual publication’s predictions for the season. After all these guys are the experts, their job description includes this kind off intel. Amazing how often they were wrong, but again, “due to circumstances beyond our control….”

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